Friday 16 March 2012

What the stock market expects from Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee


Brokers are expecting an eventful Budget as the FM is under pressure to boost revenues to reduce the fiscal deficit, while excessive increases in tax rates could hurt companies. These are some of the measures that could be brought in by the government and their implications:

Automobile 

Hike in excise duty, diesel tax

Banking 

Fiscal consolidation, capital infusion in PSUs, clarity on new bank licences, Interest subvention fund for power sector


Capital Goods 

Import duty on power generation equipment, increased govt spending on infrastructure schemes, mandatory domestic power equipment procurement for future UMPPs using domestic coal

Cement 

Hike in excise duty, hike in diesel prices, waiver of import duty on thermal coal, higher allocation for infra projects, VAT reduction

FMCG 

Hike in excise duty, increase in personal tax slabs, measures to discourage gold import

Fertilisers 

Cut in per unit subsidy on non-urea fertilisers, raising urea retail price, cutting custom duty on inputs like naphtha, LNG, etc

Infrastructure 

Higher budgetary allocation, long- term funding for projects, new services in tax net

Infotech 

Incremental allocation under schemes to digitize various departments

Media 

Waiver of custom duty on set-top boxes, increase in FDI limit for cable TV multi-system operators

Metals & Mining 

Increase in import duty on manganese ore and waiver of import duty on thermal coal, iron ore lumps

Oil & Gas 

Increase in prices of petroleum products and waiver of custom duty on LNG, extension sun-set clause on tax incentives

Logistics 

Concrete steps to expedite work on the Dedicated Freight corridors and Delhi-Mumbai Industrial Corridor

Pharmaceuticals 

Higher budgetary allocation for healthcare and increase in tax sops on R&D, extension of Tax holiday on healthcare in Tier II and III towns, infrastructure status for healthcare

Retail 

Roll-back (partial or full) of 10% excise duty on retail price of branded garments

Real Estate 

Increase in limit of income-tax deduction for interest on housing loans to Rs 3 lakhs

Power 

Import duty on power generation equipment, waiver of duty on imported coal, Incentives/measures for SEB reforms with pre-conditions

Telecom 

Budget estimates likely to include inflows from 2G auctions, Imposition of import duty on mobile handsets & focus on promoting domestic manufacturing of electronics

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